Name: Pragmatic Change
Author: Mark Winter

Senior change and transformation leader working with executives navigating complex programmes. Pragmatic, independent, remote-first.

Posts tagged Planning Fallacy

Stay inside your budget by going outside your own boardroom.

The Planning Fallacy is the diagnosis. Reference Class Forecasting is the discipline. Why looking outside your own boardroom — at what actually happened to comparable projects — is the single best corrective to inside-view optimism.

Change, Leadership, Project ManagementMark Winter22 May 2026Strategy, Leadership, Change, Planning Fallacy, Decision-Making